After coming within a few inches of capacity on Feb. 22, Don Pedro Reservoir has dropped about 11 feet.
You can thank this extended dry spell for that.
Officials have managed to dump about 138,000 acre-feet of water during that time. But is it enough?
The Tuolumne River system will likely see anywhere from 2 million acre-feet to 2.9 million acre-feet of snowmelt runoff from April through July, according to the latest projection from the state Department of Water Resources.
If runoff totals, say, about 2.3 million acre-feet, that would be 191 percent of normal.
Look, April through July is a long four months. If the snow melts slowly and the runoff eases into Don Pedro, maybe we can handle it.
Still, the numbers speak for themselves. Somewhere north of 2 million acre-feet of water will be headed our way (I’m talking to you, Modesto, Lathrop and Stockton). At the moment there is 142,000 acre-feet of room in the river’s largest reservoir.
Don’t be fooled by the dry weather. This is nowhere near over.